Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, February 2026

  • In one line: Import price growth will jump in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK GDP February 2026

  • In one line:About half of the February GDP gain was erratic, but that still leaves signs of improving underlying growth as Budget uncertainty eased.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, March 2026

  • In one line: Housing market activity will grind down over the course of 2026.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, March 2026

  • In one line: Construction sector activity to remain weak in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, March 2026

  • In one line: Surging input prices will worry the MPC.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, March 2026

  • In one line: Growth in autos registrations will ease in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, March 2026

  • In one line: Job market stable in March, but high inflation will weigh on employment in 2026.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, Marcg 2026

  • In one line: BRC sales flattered by early Easter in March, growth will slow in April.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, January 2026

  • In one line: House price inflation has further to drop as the Iran War dents sentiment and boosts borrowing costs.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, February 2026

  • In one line:Retail sales supporting GDP in Q1, but consumers’ spending growth will ease in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, March 2026

  • In one line: Consumers’ confidence has further to fall in 2026.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, February 2026

  • In one line: Households and businesses on solid financial footing heading into the energy price shock.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, March 2026

  • In one line: The housing market will weaken over the course of 2026.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, January / February 2026

  • In one line: Slowing pay growth keeps the bar to a hike high, but payrolls show the labour market rebounding ahead of the Iran war.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, March 2026

  • In one line: MPC surprises market hawkishly, guidance symmetric but more open to hikes than expected.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, February 2026

  • In one line:The public finances will be hit hard if high energy prices persist for long.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, January 2026

  • In one line: Higher energy costs will weigh on the trade balance.

UK Datanote: UK GDP January 2026

  • In one line:January disappointment partly driven by erratic sectors that will rebound, but we shave our Q1 growth call to 0.2% quarter-to-quarter.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, February 2026

  • In one line: War in the Middle East will hit housing market sentiment in the coming months.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, February 2026

  • In one line: Retail sales growth should pick up when the weather clears, but war in the Middle East remains a downside risk to activity.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence