Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, January 2026

  • In one line: Inflation miss too small to stop a March rate cut, but stubborn services inflation means a second cut this year is far from certain.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, December 2025

  • In one line: The housing market was resilient in 2025, but prices will rise more quickly in 2026.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, January 2026

  • In one line: Consumers’ spending will boost January GDP growth.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, December 2025

  • In one line: The trade deficit has some room to further improve.

UK Datanote: UK GDP December 2025

  • In one line:Disappointing Q4 keeps a March rate cut on track, but underlying momentum looks too solid for more than one rate cut this year.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, January 2026

  • In one line: Hiring sentiment has further to improve in Q1.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, December / January 2026

  • In one line: Unemployment rate at 5-year high should seal a March rate cut, but more timely data suggests stabilisation.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, February 2026

  • In one line: Dovish vote and minutes make March close call and signal a desire to cut twice this year at least. 

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, January 2026

  • In one line: Construction activity to grind only modestly higher as tailwinds dissipate.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, January 2026

  • In one line: Autos registrations will continue to rise slowly over the coming year.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, January 2026

  • In one line: Rebounding growth as uncertainty falls and stubborn price pressures point to just one Bank Rate cut this year.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, January 2026

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity can rise at a steady rate in 2026.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, December 2025

  • In one line: More downbeat money and credit data, but good enough to signal economic growth close to potential.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Price Index, January 2026

  • In one line: House price inflation will continue to steadily rise over the coming year. 

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, January 2026

  • In one line: Economic momentum to build in Q1.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, December 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales rebound and have further to recover in 2026.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, January 2026

  • In one line: Consumers' confidence can continue to rise slowly in 2026.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, December 2025

  • In one line: Underlying inflation remians sticky, even though headline CPI is set to temporarily slow in the first half of 2026.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, November / December 2025

  • In one line: Enough to allow the MPC to wait until April to cut again.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence