Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 28 April 2024

Chinese industrial profits continue to improve in Q1 despite March's slowdown

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Manufacturing PMIs, China, April

Manufacturing output in rude health, though the PMIs provide contrasting readings for new orders

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 30 April 2024: Manufacturing PMIs point to robust output

China's PMIs indicate manufacturing output surge, despite mixed demand readings; services activity suffers post-holiday dip

Duncan WrigleyChina+

1 May 2024 China+ Monitor China's output rebound continues; Politburo tone more confident

  • Both China’s April PMIs agree that manufacturing output is going from strength to strength...
  • ...But the official gauge shows demand fading slightly, while the Caixin indicates further robustness.
  • It was announced at yesterday’s Politburo meeting the reform-oriented Third Plenum will be held in July.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

April 2024 - China+ Chartbook

  • - CHINA’S RECOVERY MAKING HEADWAY
  • - JPY PRESSURE GIVING THE BOJ A HEADACHE
  • - STRONG EXPORTS LIFT KOREAN GROWTH

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Tokyo CPI, Japan, April

Tokyo inflation slows due to implementation of free high school education and cooling food inflation

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: BoJ Policy Decision, Japan, April

The BoJ resists JPY market pressure in keeping the policy rate target range steady

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 26 April 2024: BoJ holds steady

The BoJ holds the policy rate steady; Tokyo consumer inflation cools, thanks to education subsidies

Duncan WrigleyChina+

29 April 2024 China+ Monitor BoJ stands fast, refusing to bow to currency-market pressure

  • The BoJ held firm on its policy rate on Friday, defying market pressure on the JPY.
  • Governor Ueda declined to adopt a more hawkish tone on the rate path, keeping the focus on inflation.
  • April national inflation won’t slow as much as Tokyo inflation, hit by the start of free local schooling.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Japan, April

In one line: Japan's manufacturing PMI improves on higher output and weak JPY

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 23 April 2024

In one line: Japan's manufacturing PMI improves on higher output and weak JPY; services activity expands amid higher cost pressure

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

26 April 2024 China+ Monitor PBoC views long-term yields as too low, despite the soft recovery

  • China’s structural problems, notably in the property sector, are limiting the efficacy of interest rate cuts.
  • But varied public views on the management of bond yields hint at a broader internal policy debate.
  • Labour-market issues are compounded by credit constraints for private firms, especially SMEs.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

25 April 2024 China+ Monitor Weak JPY should force a tougher BoJ posture, but no rate hike yet

  • The BoJ is likely to keep the policy rate unchanged, as Japan hasn’t attained sustainable inflation yet.
  • Broad wage growth is likely to lag strong pay rises at large employers, while consumption looks soft.
  • But building pressure on JPY will probably force the Bank to strike a more hawkish tone on future rates.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

23 April 2024 China+ Monitor China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged due to tight NIMs

  • China’s loan prime rates were left unchanged in April after the PBoC’s earlier decision to hold the MLF.
  • The PBoC has less room to cut rates in the near term as market bets on a delayed Fed cut rate increase.
  • Early Korean export data show strong memory-chip demand; US shipments remain solid.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: 20-Day Exports, Korea, April

In one line: Solid Korean 20-day export growth driven by chips demand 

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: LPR, China, April

In one line: China's LPR remains unchanged in April

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 22 April 2024

In one line: China's LPR remains unchanged in April;  Solid Korean 20-day export growth driven by chips demand

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 19 April 2024

In one line: Japan's inflation cools in March; the BoJ to stand pats next week

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: National CPI, Japan, March

In one line: Japan's inflation cools in March; the BoJ to stand pats next week

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

22 April 2024 China+ Monitor China's residential property sector still ailing despite funding support

  • The steep decline in China’s new residential sales eased only a tiny bit in March.
  • Developer funding is still under severe pressure; the 6,000-project whitelist offers limited help, so far.
  • China’s residential sector faces a grinding recovery, despite flickers of life in Shanghai’s luxury market.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

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