Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q4 2023

  • In one line: Still a minor technical recession last year, but the economy is already rebounding.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

3 April 2024 UK Monitor Falling uncertainty cuts consumer caution, supporting the recovery

  • February’s money and credit data show consumer caution fading, which should support GDP growth.
  • Mortgage approvals hit an 18-month high, and lumpsum repayments fell to their lowest since May 2020.
  • Declines in mortgage interest rates this year will boost the housing market and spending further.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

2 April 2024 UK Monitor It was a recession Jim, but not as we know it

  • Revised data still show a minor recession last year, but it’s an even smaller 0.4% cumulative GDP fall.
  • The recession was driven by rising saving, as consumers worried about energy bills and interest rates.
  • The saving rate won’t increase further from its elevated level, so consumption can recover in 2024.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence