Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

Global Datanote: GDP, Second Quarter, Brazil, 2024

  • In one line: GDP growth surges in Q2 amid strong labour market.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Unemployment rate, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line: Unemployment declines but economic challenges lie ahead.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Chile, July, 2024

  • In one line: Mixed start to Q3, with industrial gains amid consumption challenges.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

3 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Peru's core inflation hits the target, enabling BCRP to ease further


  • Peru’s inflation is easing, as the core rate has hit BCRP’s target; it likely will continue to cut rates.
  • Chile’s economic activity rebounded in July, but challenges are persisting in key sectors.
  • Colombia’s labour market is sending mixed signals amid an uneven economic recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

2 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's labour market starting to show signs of moderation

  • Brazil’s labour market showed resilience in H1, yet signs of a gradual slowdown are starting to emerge.
  • Leading indicators signal the labour market is plateauing, due to tighter financial conditions.
  • Industrial gains offset consumption challenges in Chile; the recovery remains sluggish.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

30 August 2024 LatAm Monitor BCCh likely to continue easing as Chile's economy struggles

  • Chile’s latest data paint a picture of a struggling economy, with risks tilted to the downside.
  • We expect the BCCh to resume rate cuts to support the economic upturn, but electricity tariffs pose a risk.
  • Improving external demand, rate cuts and Fed easing will support the economic recovery in 2025.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

28 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Banxico's shift towards easing amid global noise and domestic risks

  • Mexico’s economic outlook suggests a continued shift towards monetary policy easing.
  • Declining core inflation and stagnant economic activity will allow Banxico to cut rates further.
  • The US Fed’s incoming easing cycle is one of the key reasons for further normalisation, but risks remain.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

27 August 2024 LatAm Monitor COPOM's cautious stance amid inflation risks and economic threats

  • Brazil’s COPOM is navigating inflation concerns and an economic slowdown, keeping a cautious stance.
  • Inflation risks persist despite recent data, which will force the COPOM to hold rates in the near term.
  • Softening economic activity, core inflation in check and the Fed’s easing will allow cuts in late Q4 or Q1.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, August

  • In one line: CBI orders and prices rebound as expected in August.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)UK

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, June, 2024

  • In one line: Manufacturing gains offset weakness in other sectors, for now.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line:  A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line:  A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, August, 2024

  • In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, August, 2024

  • In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Mexico, August, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Mexico, August, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, July, 2024

  • In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Mexico, July, 2024

  • In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: CPI, Chile, July, 2024

  • In one line: Inflation rebounds driven by rising electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Tackling inflation in Mexico and Chile is becoming difficult

  • Mexico and Chile face rising inflation, amid global turmoil and economic uncertainty.
  • Banxico and the BCCh will struggle to balance headline inflation control with economic growth needs.
  • Adverse weather and global issues complicate the inflation outlook, but Fed easing will bring relief.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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