Pantheon Publications
Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder) Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- US - Tariffs unlikely to drive a big “re-shoring” of US manufacturing
- EUROZONE - Swiss GDP fell in Q3 and the economy is now likely in recession
- UK - Only 15 sleeps to go until the Budget, but firms brush off worries
- CHINA+ - China’s export growth more resilient than the headline figures suggest
- EM ASIA - Philippines’ ugly Q3 GDP long in the making; ICI will make things worse
- LATAM - Banxico cautious as core inflation stickiness curbs easing prospects
- Flat CPI in Chile in October confirms easing inflation momentum, allowing gradual BCCh rate cuts ahead.
- Robust trade and capex offset softer consumption, maintaining Chile’s balanced growth in Q4 and Q1.
- Fiscal fragility remains a key medium-term issue, demanding renewed consolidation efforts.
- In one line: Inflation eases, pointing to softer Q4 average.
- In one line: Inflation eases, pointing to softer Q4 average.
- In one line: Headline inflation drops again in October, supporting Banxico’s cautious easing path.
- In one line: Headline inflation drops again in October, supporting Banxico’s cautious easing path.
- Core inflation in Mexico remains stubborn near 4%, prompting Banxico to add a hawkish tilt to its tone.
- GDP growth is weakening as industry shrinks and consumption stagnates amid tighter credit conditions.
- Further rate cuts will hinge on stable inflation, fiscal prudence and limited trade disruption.
- In one line: Cautious COPOM holds steady amid uncertainty.
- In one line: Cautious COPOM holds steady amid uncertainty.
- The COPOM held the Selic at 15%, reaffirming its hawkish stance amid slow disinflation and global risk.
- Inflation expectations continue to ease, but the Board stressed patience and vigilance before any rate cut…
- …That first cut is now likely delayed to January as the BCB prioritises credibility and inflation convergence.
- In one line: Under pressure, but conditions likely will improve in Q1.
- Brazilian Real — Slips modestly on global headwinds
- Colombian Peso — Choppy gains as carry holds
- Chilean Peso — Political clarity and BCCh caution
- US - Indicators of consumers’ spending are starting to flash amber
- EUROZONE - The ECB keeps rates steady as inflation and GDP look resilient
- UK - MPC preview: holding Bank Rate steady but signalling cuts
- CHINA+ - Xi-Trump meet-up: temporary trade truce tilted in China’s favour
- EM ASIA - Taiwan’s GDP growth still strong, but we think it’s finally peaked
- LATAM - BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico’s GDP falls in Q3
- Brazil’s industrial output shrank again, highlighting persistent weakness across key sectors.
- The labour market—the economy’s last major support pillar—is softening amid tariff shocks and high rates.
- We expect the COPOM to hold rates at 15% today, but easing signals are likely as disinflation gains traction.
- High inflation and wage pressures reinforce BanRep’s cautious policy normalisation stance.
- The fiscal strategy has shifted towards revenue measures, as structural rigidities limit spending cuts.
- Chile’s broad-based rebound in September confirms domestic demand strength and easing mining issues.
- In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.
- In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.
- BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
- …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
- Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.
- In one line: On hold, waiting for clearer disinflation.
- In one line: On hold, waiting for clearer disinflation.
