Pantheon Publications
Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder) Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- Brazil — Noise driven by US tariffs and Bolsonaro fallout
- Mexico — Sovereignty, trade and security
- Colombia — Tensions rise ahead of 2026 vote
- US - FOMC too nervous about inflation to endorse the market curve
- EUROZONE - Closer to an estimate for the Q1 2026 fall in German energy prices
- UK - CPI preview: nudging up to 3.9% in August as food prices jump
- CHINA+ - China’s ailing domestic demand likely to prompt targeted support
- EM ASIA - EM Asia laggards won’t chip away at the Asian Tigers’ chip dominance
- LATAM - Brazil economy weakens as tight policy and tariffs weigh heavily
- Mexico’s industrial output plunged in July, with manufacturing and construction the key drags.
- Tentative stabilisation emerges as PMI improves, but trade noise and weak confidence keep risks elevated.
- Peru’s BCRP trims rates toward neutral as inflation eases and activity is resilient; risks still loom, though.
- Brazil’s IBC-BR fell again in July, confirming a poor start to Q3 amid broad sectoral weakness.
- Retail and services are slowing as high borrowing costs erode resilience, despite job market support.
- Copom set to hold Selic rate at 15%, signalling prolonged tight policy amid sticky inflation.
- Markets reeled as political setback exposed fragility in Argentina’s macro backdrop and reform credibility.
- Inflation is slowing, but ARS pressure, weak activity, and tight reserves complicate policy execution.
- October elections will test Milei’s mandate and determine the durability of his economic program.
- Disinflation gains traction in Brazil, but sticky core inflation will keep COPOM on high alert.
- Energy and food drive relief to the headline number, but services and labour costs still pose inflation risks.
- BCCh holds rates at 4.75% as core inflation stays firm and labour market strains delay easing path.
- In one line: BCCh holds fire, flags sticky core inflation and need for more data before resuming cuts.
- In one line: Headline inflation eases, but core remains sticky.
- In one line: Headline inflation eases, but core remains sticky.
- Brazil — Rally on easing inflation, election optimism
- Mexico — Upwards amid cautious optimism
- Colombia — Nears 13-year high on broad gains
- US - Payrolls warrant much looser policy, but 50bp next week is unlikely
- EUROZONE - Swiss inflation details are dovish; SNB rate cut to -0.25% still on
- UK - GDP likely unchanged month-to-month in July
- CHINA+ - China’s exports lose steam on low-techs; slump in US exports persists
- EM ASIA - Confident BNM holds fire on further easing, following July cut
- LATAM - Mexico’s economy holds steady, but capex weakness and trade risks persist
- Headline inflation eases in Mexico, but sticky core services limit Banxico’s scope to ease.
- The Economic Package prioritises targeted capex, fiscal consolidation and sustained social spending.
- MXN strength and prudent debt management support stability; trade uncertainty restrains growth.
- Chile’s downside inflation surprise strengthens the case for a cautious 25bp policy rate cut today.
- Colombia’s inflation persists, as food and service components push the headline rate above 5%.
- BanRep remains cautious, with structural inflation drivers and fiscal reform clouding the policy outlook.
- Mexico’s economy is showing modest resilience, supported by manufacturing and services.
- Consumption is underpinned by wages and remittances, but capex is weakening amid trade tensions.
- Brazil’s trade surplus is holding up, but industry is deteriorating due to US tariffs and tight policy.
- Growth is steady in Chile, led by resilient services, a mining rebound and capex; net trade is a drag.
- Inflation is easing gradually, but sticky services prices and wage pass-through delay convergence to target.
- The fiscal deficit has widened, and labour market slack and political uncertainty cloud the outlook.
- In one line: Growth slows as capex falls, but services hold up.
- In one line: Growth slows as capex falls, but services hold up.
- Brazilian Real — Resilient, but volatility is persisting
- Mexican Peso — Stable, but capped by external noise
- Colombian Peso — Early rebound before consolidation
- US - August payrolls likely will maintain the pressure for looser Fed policy
- EUROZONE - ECB’s easing cycle is over; risks now tilting to rate hikes, in 2027
- UK - Insolvencies holding steady despite the barrage of headwinds
- CHINA+ - Chinese manufacturers tolerate tariff shifts, but small firms struggle
- EM ASIA - BI’s urgency to cut faster since July in context; expect at least one more
- LATAM - Banxico slows pace of easing as core inflation pressures persist
- Brazil’s Q2 GDP growth slowed sharply, as temporary supports fade and monetary tightening bites.
- Household consumption and services showed resilience, but capex saw renewed weakness.
- Peru’s inflation is firmly anchored, giving BCRP flexibility to balance demand and external uncertainty.
