Pantheon Publications
Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
- High inflation and wage pressures reinforce BanRep’s cautious policy normalisation stance.
- The fiscal strategy has shifted towards revenue measures, as structural rigidities limit spending cuts.
- Chile’s broad-based rebound in September confirms domestic demand strength and easing mining issues.
- India’s real GST collection growth in October was flat, at best, showing no post-cut pop in spending.
- Recovering Chinese demand is helping to keep Indonesian export growth lofty, but big risks linger.
- We have raised our 2026 inflation forecast for Indonesia to 3.1%, in light of the firm October reads.
- The Xi–Trump meeting in Korea marked a watershed shift in negotiating power between the US and China.
- The RatingDog manufacturing PMI eased, similar to the NBS, on weak demand both at home and abroad.
- China is betting on powering growth by both expanding consumption and maintaining its export prowess.
- Swiss inflation eased to within touching distance of 0%, the bottom of the SNB’s inflation target range.
- We look for further declines, in contrast to the SNB’s forecast for inflation to rise.
- Still, the SNB will hold off from further easing this year and probably also next year.
- The insolvency rate has plateaued above pre-pandemic levels but is unthreatening.
- We see little indication that higher insolvency rates will lead to a sharp rise in unemployment.
- Insolvency numbers will fall as businesses adjust to higher interest rates and GDP growth holds firm.
In one line: In line with our view of Swiss economic weakness.
- In one line: In line with our view of Swiss economic weakness.
- In one line: Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%.
- In one line: A deceptively quiet end to Q3 for trade.
A deceptively quiet end to Q3 for Indonesian trade
Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%
In one line: Down, but the SNB will ignore it.
- In one line: Down, but the SNB will ignore it.
In one line: Only a washout in November can deliver an ECB rate cut now.
In one line: Only a washout in November can deliver an ECB rate cut now.
- In one line: Softer, but still beating expectations.
- In one line: ‘Others’ component goes from friend to foe; underlying growth is showing more stability.
In one line: In line with our forecast; a coin toss between 2.1% and 2.2% on the EZ HICP.
In one line: Investment stimulus should lift China's manufacturing index from October's trough
Investment stimulus should lift China's manufacturing index from October's trough
Tokyo inflation bump driven by local water subsidy expiry
In one line: Flat over Q3 as a whole.
