Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Chartbook Daily Monitor

15 January 2026 China+ Monitor China executed its trade strategy well in 2025 and kept exports afloat

  • China’s successful diversification kept its exports afloat in 2025, with the amount exported reaching USD3.77T.
  • The record trade surplus masks exceptionally weak imports, which reflect feeble domestic demand.
  • China’s export strategy will face rising challenges in 2026 as non-US trade protectionism escalates.

8 January 2026 China+ Monitor China's foreign reserves on a rising trend, despite trade frictions

  • China’s $11.5B rise in foreign reserves in December was down entirely to currency-valuation effects.
  • The large trade surplus has been resilient, despite tariff frictions, due to exports expanding into new markets.
  • Our estimated residual net capital outflow probably points to retained export earnings held offshore.

6 January 2026 China+ Monitor China's services firms optimistic despite cooling in demand

  • The December RatingDog services PMI points to slowing demand but a marked revival in sentiment.
  • Firms are reluctant to hire though, and services inflation pressure is muted.
  • China has provided more funds for consumer subsidies, though less than this time last year.

23 December 2025 China+ Monitor China settles in for an L-shaped residential-property recovery

  • China’s residential sales are still slumping in December, with weakness across all city tiers.
  • Tier-one city pre-owned housing prices sank, amid reports of a surge in listings of low- to mid-end units.
  • Policymakers seem resigned to a protracted recovery, with no new ideas at the CEWC.

December 2025 - China+ Chartbook

  • - CHINA SIGNALS 'STEADY AS SHE GOES' POLICY APPROACH
  • - JAPAN'S STEADY WAGE-HIKE OUTLOOK SHOULD NUDGE BOJ
  • - BOK HOPING FOR RESPITE IN KRW PRESSURE

17 December 2025 China+ Monitor Japan's wage outlook for 2026 likely to remain uneven

  • The BoJ’s regional branches report steady wage-hike expectations for 2026, except at small firms.
  • Japan’s December flash PMIs see manufacturing activity reviving but cost pressures mounting.
  • The Q4 Tankan finds severe labour shortages, but these have yet to spur an uptick in broad wage growth.

16 December 2025 China+ Monitor China's domestic demand still in the slow lane as policy boost fades

  • China’s November activity data point to slowing goods consumption but steady services spending.
  • Still-falling fixed asset investment has yet to benefit from the quasi-fiscal-stimulus funding support.
  • Policymakers will proceed cautiously on tackling the reasons for the weak demand, amid bright exports.
  Publication Filters

Change View: List   Small Grid  

Filter by Keyword

Filter by Region

Filter by Publication Type

Filter by Date
(6 months only; older publications available on request)

  Quick Tag Filters
Consistently Right
Access Key Enabled Navigation
Keywords for: China+ Documents

independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,