Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

China+ Datanote: Exports, Japan, March

In one line: Japanese exports grow sturdily in March, lifted by strong Chinese demand and a weak yen.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: BoK Decision, Korea, April

In one line: The BoK stays put as inflation remains elevated, no surprise to the market.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

18 April 2024 China+ Monitor Solid Japanese exports lifted by Chinese demand and a weak yen

  • Japan’s exports grew solidly in March, thanks to burgeoning Chinese demand and a weaker JPY.
  • Demand from the US and EU slowed, car-related shipments fell sharply, but chip exports soared.
  • The export recovery will be safeguarded by the ICT upturn, while capital goods demand should improve.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

17 April 2024 China+ Monitor Chinese GDP growth rises in Q1, but output is outpacing demand

  • China’s Q1 GDP growth picked up, thanks to robust industrial output and consumer services spending.
  • But a marked fall in industrial capacity utilisation points to burgeoning oversupply issues...
  • …Fiscal stimulus should boost demand to mitigate the oversupply, eventually; meanwhile, PPI deflation.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16 April 2024: Chinese GDP beats expectations

Chinese GDP beats expectations, despite an uneven recovery and looming oversupply issues

Duncan WrigleyChina+

16 April 2024 China+ Monitor PBoC holds the MLF rate steady, despite lacklustre domestic demand

  • The PBoC left the MLF rate unchanged yesterday, likely wary of currency pressure.
  • Social financing growth slowed in March, due to soft domestic demand and lower bond issuance.
  • Government-bond issuance is likely to pick up in Q2, the key plank of short-term growth support.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: MLF Rate, China, April

The PBoC keeps the MLF rate on hold, despite slowing credit growth

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15 April 2024: MLF rate unchanged

The PBoC keeps the MLF rate on hold, despite slowing credit growth

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, March

Disappointing credit data point to undercooked domestic demand, despite fiscal stimulus 

Duncan WrigleyChina+

15 April 2024 China+ Monitor China begins to flesh out its consumer goods trade-in plan

  • China’s marked fall in exports in March highlights the need to boost domestic demand.
  • After factoring out base effects and seasonality, exports are probably enjoying a modest rebound.
  • The equipment & consumer goods trade -in schemes should be significant, despite slow policymaking.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,