Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

7 July 2025 China+ Monitor China's coming supply-side policy shift could help soften deflation

  • Chinese policymakers are seemingly rethinking policy to rein in unbridled competition, after prior false starts.
  • The key is political will—and a plan—to overcome vested interests, both local governments’ and firms’.
  • Getting it right should lead to firmer pricing, stronger profits and less wasted capital investment.

4 July 2025 China+ Monitor Hong Kong dollar peg here to stay, despite talk of its demise

  • The HKMA intervened again on Wednesday to defend the currency peg, which has been in place since 1983.
  • The LERS is a double-edged sword: Hong Kong loses monetary policy freedom but gains stability.
  • Any talk of re-pegging the HKD is premature; China and HKSAR are not yet an Optimal Currency Area.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 July 2025: China's Caixin manufacturing PMI also rises

China's Caixin PMI, Korea's PMI and Japan's Tankan point to manufacturers' measured relief at easing trade tensions

2 July 2025 China+ Monitor Both China's manufacturing PMI rises led by output; deflation lingers

  • The Caixin PMI rebounded more strongly than the official manufacturing index in June…
  • …Deflation pressures are festering, however, likely forcing regulatory curbs on excessive competition.
  • Korea’s manufacturing PMI is starting to rise from its sickbed, now the election has reduced political risk.

1 July 2025 China+ Monitor PBoC signals less urgency for policy support as PMIs improve

  • The PBoC on Friday hinted it saw less need for a near- term monetary policy boost than three months ago.
  • The June official manufacturing PMI improved, thanks to policy support and an easing in tariff tensions.
  • The construction PMI ticked up at last, but it’s too soon to celebrate; the hard data pointed to slowing.
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Keywords for: China+ Documents

independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,