Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Below is a list of our Emerging Asia Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 19 September 2024

Falling trade balance hides pick-up in Malaysian export momentum

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

20 September 2024 Emerging Asia Monitor Malaysian export figures point to above-consensus 2024 growth

  • Ignore Malaysia’s smaller trade surplus in August, as the economy ramps up intermediate imports...
  • ...The recovery in electronics exports continues to gather steam, powering manufacturing growth.
  • The CBC sounds increasingly desperate in trying to rein in housing prices; an uphill task, in our view.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

10 September 2024 Emerging Asia Monitor Record surplus aside, Taiwan's exports running on a single engine

  • Electronics to the US for AI-related investment continue to support Taiwanese export growth…
  • …This demand is likely to remain firm, but its strong performance hides weakness elsewhere.
  • The July fall in Malaysian retail sales growth is more likely stabilisation, rather than real weakness.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

9 September 2024 Emerging Asia US demand continues to drive VN exports, but this reliance is risky

  • Vietnam’s seasonally adjusted trade surplus barely moved in August , but exports to the US are flying…
  • …We still expect GDP growth to slip modestly in Q3, with IP and retail sales clearly losing momentum.
  • Philippine CPI returned quickly to the BSP's range in August; the door ’s ajar for a 50bp cut in October.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

6 September 2024 Emerging Asia Monitor BNM likely to enjoy a 'Goldilocks' moment, with a pause until 2025

  • BNM is likely to stay on hold for the rest of 2024, faced with slowing CPI and a strong GDP outlook.
  • Taiwanese CPI is set to benefit from slower imported inflation, but rental growth is still a worry.
  • Singaporean retail sales growth is likely to remain weak for most of H2, barring friendly base effects.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

EM Asia Datanote: CPI, Taiwan, August

  • In one line: Sticky housing inflation keeps headline elevated.

Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

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Emerging Asia Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,