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Eurozone Publications

Below is a list of our Eurozone Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor

14 April 2025 Eurozone Monitor The ECB will cut by 25bp this week but offer little guidance

  • The ECB will cut its deposit rate by 25bp this week, in line with the consensus.
  • Falling oil prices and a strengthening euro point to downside risk to the ECB’s June inflation forecasts.
  • ‘Uncertainty’ will be a key word for Ms. Lagarde this week, but doves have the upper hand, for now.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Retail Sales, EZ, February 2025

In one line: Rebounding as expected; will global trade war hurt consumers? 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production & Trade, Germany, February

In one line: German industry likely had a great Q1, but what awaits in Q2? 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, February 2025

In one line: Not enough to salvage Q1, but the 3m/3m trend is turning up.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

Factory Orders, Germany, February 2025

In one line: Growth and the surveys were picking up, before Mr. Trump’s tariff hammer.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

7 April 2025 Eurozone Monitor Markets, and baseline forecasts, are on the ropes from US tariffs

  • The markets’ verdict is clear; trade uncertainty is a disinflationary shock, but we’re not convinced.
  • We now think the ECB will cut its policy rate later this month, by 25bp, for a terminal rate of 2.25%.
  • A high export ratio for EZ industry means higher US tariffs are a risk; construction is looking better.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, March 2025

In one line: Holding at a 46-month low, but will rise again soon; Swiss retaliation to US tariff hikes poses an upside risk.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, February 2025

In one line:  A new record low; another data point for ECB hawks. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: PMI, Switzerland, March 2025

In one line: Our PM composite PMI points to another solid increase in GDP in Q1.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, March 2025

In one line: We now see the March EZ HICP up by 0.7% m/m, and by 2.2% y/y.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: State CPIs, Germany, March 2025

In one line: Headline in line with consensus; core looks strong considering Easter effects. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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Keywords for: Eurozone Documents

independent macro research, Eurozone Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,