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19th Dec 2024 19:20EurozoneWeekly Monitor

  • President Lagarde said data in coming months—not weeks—will offer clarity on the ECB’s next moves.
  • This lowers the chance of a 50bp rate cut in January; we think the Bank will opt for a smaller 25bp cut.
  • Three conditions, though, may push the Bank to make the next cut a jumbo one.

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Keywords for: 23 December 2024 EZ Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence