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29th Jul 2024 18:25EurozoneDaily Monitor

  • Germany was a laggard in Q2, again; GDP jumped in Spain, and rose solidly in Italy and France. 
  • We think the Q2 GDP numbers have increased the probability of a second ECB rate cut in September. 
  • German HICP inflation was hot, but Spain’s was soft; we still see EZ inflation stable at 2.5% in July.

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Keywords for: 31 July 2024 Eurozone Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence