Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Global Publications

Below is a list of our Global Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)

Global Datanote: Advance PMIs, Germany, January 2025

In one line: Great, but beware the likely seasonal boost in services.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Final Inflation, December, December 2024

In one line: Upside risks building in energy, but the Q1 core looks benign on our forecasts.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Sentix & Final PMIs, Eurozone, Jan/Dec

In one line: Relief in the PMIs; investor sentiment and seasonals signal further gains ahead.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: ECB Press Conference, December 2024

In one line: Dovish, but staying open on the path in 2025 and the level of the neutral rate. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, December 2024

In one line: As expected; no longer need for a restrictive policy rate. Where is neutral? 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

11 December 2024 Global Monitor Downtrend in payrolls leaves us confident Fed will cut rates again this month

  • US - Slowdown in payroll growth confirms monetary policy still is too tight
  • EUROZONE - ECB to ease by 25bp this week and tee up a cut in January too
  • UK - LFS revisions cut productivity and raise inflation pressure
  • CHINA+ - Japanese consumption activity still weak, as BoJ monitors wage trends
  • EM ASIA - RBI holds, just, but more grounds laid for a February rate cut
  • LATAM - Disinflation in Mexico leaves door open to further policy normalisation

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

4 December 2024 Global Monitor ECB doves will push hard for a 50bp cut in December; we doubt they'll get it

  • US -  November payrolls to indicate the trend is still slowing
  • EUROZONE - ECB likely to cut by 25bp this month, and the same in January
  • UK - MPC splits into three camps to match its three scenarios
  • CHINA+ - Tokyo headline inflation jump mostly due to food and energy inflation
  • EM ASIA -India’s disastrous Q3 GDP print has been long in the making
  • LATAM -Brazil facing rising inflation and economic issues ahead of rate hikes

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Advance PMIs, Germany, November 2024

In one line: Stung by falling activity and new orders; 12-month outlook slightly improved. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: ECB Press Conference, October

In one line: Growth indicators are rising in importance for policymakers. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, October

In one line: The first big win for ECB doves in a long time. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, September 2024

In one line: The trump card ECB doves need for a third rate cut today. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

Global Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, September

In one line: As expected; plenty to talk about on the press conference. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

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independent macro research, Global Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,