- In one line: Food disinflation is intensifying.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: Services too hot to handle, but the trend isn’t 4%.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- US - Indicators pointing to a worsening labor market still in the majority
- EUROZONE - German GDP growth will slow in Q2, but the recovery is durable
- UK - Services inflation surprise means MPC will wait until August to cut
- CHINA+ - BoK signals delay to rate cuts on rising inflation risks
- EM ASIA - Here comes the downshift in Indian GDP growth from 8%-plus
- LATAM - Banxico navigates sticky headline inflation amid slowing growth
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: On hold, but rate cuts will resume soon, assuming the MXN stabilises.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Gradual rate cuts ahead; data to guide pace.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
In one line: Was the rise in French private sector activity short-lived?
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
In one line: Services leads the way while industry downturn is easing.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
In one line: Decent; services activity is firm, even as inflation pressures ease.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: The calm after last month’s madness.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - GDP growth is set to slow—but not collapse—squeezing down inflation
- EUROZONE - Sticky services inflation still the key threat to the outlook for rates
- UK - Sticking to June rate cut, as MPC words lately matter more than data
- CHINA+ - China’s activity data mixed, ahead of incoming support policies
- EM ASIA - Why you shouldn’t hang your hat on Thailand’s Q1 GDP surprise
- LATAM - Brazil’s activity index rebounds in Q1, but risks looming for H2
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: A poorer start to Q2 than suggested by the already-soft headline rates.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - Initial claims better at flagging labor market upturns than downturns
- EUROZONE - Rise in food inflation in April not the start of a new trend
- UK - June is live after MPC chops inflation forecasts
- CHINA+ - April data likely to show tentative improvement in China’s recovery
- EM ASIA - Weak consumers still point to a 2024 slowdown in the Philippines
- LATAM - Banxico keeps rates on hold and strikes a more hawkish tone
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: Food inflation remains frustratingly sticky; clearer signs that core has bottomed-out.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Soft, as we cautioned, and the big picture isn’t looking great either.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Inflation continues to fall rapidly.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: A modest cut as inflation risks have tilted to the upside.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Core disinflation remains on track, but food prices are now a problem.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Making peace with the Fed’s higher-for-longer stance.
Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Global