In one line: Recession in EZ industry rumbles on.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Much more food disinflation ahead.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Export-oriented manufacturers hit a speed-bump at the end of Q3.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: The 50bp pace of rate cuts continues amid mixed economic signals and a cautious inflation outlook.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- US - Only three indicators are useful in payroll forecasting; all are flawed
- UK -CPI inflation will be boosted by duties and school fees
- EM Asia-Thailand’s smaller cash handout will be even more trivial for growth
- EZ -October’s rate cut is on; deposit rate set to end 2024 at 3%
- LatAm - Banxico cuts rates as expected, opening door for further easing
- China+ - China’s policy shift puts growth target in reach; bold reforms lacking
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: The door has been left open for further easing.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
In one line: Thomas Jordan ends reign as SNB Chairman with a cut; more easing is on the way.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- US - The Fed will abandon plans for a modest, slow easing cycle
- EUROZONE - Sinking September PMIs put an October rate cut back in the frame
- UK - Services inflation close to MPC’s forecast kept rates on hold
- CHINA+ - Deep structural adjustment weighing down China’s domestic
- EM ASIA - How much can we trust the recovery in Indonesian exports?
- LATAM - Brazil’s BCB hikes Selic rate, with a hawkish tone, for now
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
In one line: Boost from the Olympics in August disappeared in September.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Heating housing market concerns continue to haunt the CBC.
Moorthy Krshnan (Senior Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: A pre-emptive 25bp hike in response to persistent inflation risks.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Front-running a near-certain cut by the Fed later today; at least one more to come in Q4.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: A solid month for exports, but downside risks linger.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - Households’ balance sheets: Strong at first glance, fragile on closer look
- EUROZONE - Mr. Draghi’s EU competitiveness report clashes with new fiscal rules
- UK - MPC preview: rates on hold and little new guidance
- CHINA+ - BoJ striking a hawkish tone, though inflation is likely to slow
- EM ASIA - No denying that Indonesian consumers are still under the cosh
- LATAM - Mexico’s industrial sector facing stagnation, amid major challenges
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: The improvement in food inflation is real; IP is losing steam, with support from consumer industries fading quickly.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: As expected; plenty to talk about on the press conference.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
Don’t panic, it's noise not signal; the core PCE probably rose by about 0.22%
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
