Latin America Publications
Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
Peru’s inflation is easing, as the core rate has hit BCRP’s target; it likely will continue to cut rates.- Chile’s economic activity rebounded in July, but challenges are persisting in key sectors.
- Colombia’s labour market is sending mixed signals amid an uneven economic recovery.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazil’s labour market showed resilience in H1, yet signs of a gradual slowdown are starting to emerge.
- Leading indicators signal the labour market is plateauing, due to tighter financial conditions.
- Industrial gains offset consumption challenges in Chile; the recovery remains sluggish.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Chile’s latest data paint a picture of a struggling economy, with risks tilted to the downside.
- We expect the BCCh to resume rate cuts to support the economic upturn, but electricity tariffs pose a risk.
- Improving external demand, rate cuts and Fed easing will support the economic recovery in 2025.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Mexico’s economic outlook suggests a continued shift towards monetary policy easing.
- Declining core inflation and stagnant economic activity will allow Banxico to cut rates further.
- The US Fed’s incoming easing cycle is one of the key reasons for further normalisation, but risks remain.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazil’s COPOM is navigating inflation concerns and an economic slowdown, keeping a cautious stance.
- Inflation risks persist despite recent data, which will force the COPOM to hold rates in the near term.
- Softening economic activity, core inflation in check and the Fed’s easing will allow cuts in late Q4 or Q1.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Manufacturing gains offset weakness in other sectors, for now.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Inflation rebounds driven by rising electricity tariffs.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Mexico and Chile face rising inflation, amid global turmoil and economic uncertainty.
- Banxico and the BCCh will struggle to balance headline inflation control with economic growth needs.
- Adverse weather and global issues complicate the inflation outlook, but Fed easing will bring relief.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazilian Real — Challenges amidst easing external woes
- Mexican Peso — Hurt by yen carry trade and global noise
- Chilean Peso — Resilient despite copper price declines
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Central banks in Mexico and Peru navigate turbulent markets ahead of critical monetary policy meetings.
- Global economic uncertainty forces policymakers to reassess monetary strategies amid financial volatility.
- Policy decisions will increasingly hinge on the actions of the US Fed and geopolitical dynamics.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Weak economic activity in Chile signals a need for further interest rate cuts, despite headwinds.
- Confidence declines sharply, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainty and higher electricity tariffs.
- Peru maintains benign inflation, allowing the BCRP to consider future rate cuts.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Colombia’s BanRep cut rates by 50bp amid a modest economic recovery and further inflation risks.
- Chile’s BCCh was more cautious, keeping rates steady amid uncertainty driven by electricity tariffs.
- BanRep has signaled further rate cuts, contrasting with BCCh’s more data-dependent approach.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A cautious pause amid mixed economic signals.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A cautious hold, prioritizing inflation control amid persistent challenges.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Struggling, the near-term outlook remains challenging.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: BanRep maintains steady 50bp rate cuts despite board divide.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
