- In one line: Core inflation remains under control, giving Banxico room for manoeuvre, despite the ugly headline.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Colombia’s and Argentina’s economies are recovering, amid persistent challenges and uncertainty.
- Agriculture is driving economic growth in Colombia, but construction and commerce are struggling.
- Fiscal consolidation has improved Argentina’s balance sheet but raises concerns about social impact.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Peru's BCRP held rates for a second straight meeting, amid sticky core inflation, but eyes future easing.
- A mixed performance for Mexico's industrial sector: construction is solid, manufacturing is struggling.
- Banxico's minutes lean towards a rate cut in August; softening economic activity supports this view.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Temporary pressures but underlying trends under control.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Core improvement amid weather-driven pressures.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Struggling as domestic demand falters.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A mixed performance, with activity struggling, but the job market remains resilient for now.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: On hold, but rate cuts will resume soon, assuming the MXN stabilises.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
LATAM RECOVERY REMAINS RESILIENT...
- ...BUT CHALLENGES PERSIST, PARTICULARLY ON THE POLICY FRONT
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: In line with expectations despite political noise and floods.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Mexico’s economy struggled in April amid headwinds; high rates and political uncertainty are threats.
- Ms. Sheinbaum’s cabinet choices indicate a balance between ideological allies and technocratic expertise.
- Concerns about power concentration are valid, but Ms. Sheinbaum is not merely AMLO’s puppet.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A solid start to Q2 following a poor Q1.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In on line: A hawkish hold, prioritising inflation anchoring, and restoring credibility.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Gradual rate cuts, with potential pauses, amid temporary inflation pressures and economic recovery.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A soft start to Q2, and downside risks have increased.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: On hold, as core inflation remains sticky.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- The BCRP left rates unchanged, defying expectations once again, as core inflation remains sticky in Peru.
- Muted inflation and soft economic activity will allow further policy normalisation in H2.
- Another boost for President Milei as inflation in Argentina slowed in May, undershooting expectations.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Manufacturing remains under strain and the near-term outlook is difficult.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
