Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

23 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Colombia's economy starts Q3 solidly, but policy shifts are a threat

  • Colombia’s economy faces headwinds despite the modest recovery; policy shifts muddy the outlook.
  • President Petro’s reform agenda meets political resistance, again; economic stability is at risk.
  • BanRep is dealing with inflation and growth worries amid government pressure for a dovish policy shift.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, September, 2024

  • In one line: In one line: A pre-emptive 25bp hike in response to persistent inflation risks.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

16 September 2024 LatAm Monitor COPOM faces tough rate decision amid inflation pressures

  • The COPOM has a tough rate decision amid rising inflation expectations, and elevated policy risk.
  • Mixed economic data highlight resilient services growth, but the industrial recovery remains fragile.
  • New BCB leadership under Gabriel Galípolo brings uncertainty to future policy and inflation-targeting.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line: A decent performance in early Q3, but tight financial conditions remain a threat.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: CPI, Brazil, August, 2024

  • In one line: Subdued pressures in August, but rising expectations cloud the near-term outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: CPI, Colombia, August, 2024

  • In one line: Finally falling at the headline level, but politics now a key risk.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial output weakens, reducing likelihood of rate hikes

  • Brazil’s industrial production declined in July following a solid H1, and the outlook is now cautious.
  • A weaker trade surplus and rising import demand point to mounting external pressures.
  • Chile’s inflation rose in August; food and housing prices led the increase, due to temporary shocks. 
     

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

4 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil enjoys strong growth in H1, but challenges loom near term

  • Brazil’s GDP surged 1.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q2, driven by strong industrial and service sector growth.
  • Labour-market strength and government spending bolstered the economic recovery in H1…
  • …But challenges loom: fiscal pressures and weakening indicators signal a potential slowdown.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Unemployment rate, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line: Unemployment declines but economic challenges lie ahead.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Chile, July, 2024

  • In one line: Mixed start to Q3, with industrial gains amid consumption challenges.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

3 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Peru's core inflation hits the target, enabling BCRP to ease further


  • Peru’s inflation is easing, as the core rate has hit BCRP’s target; it likely will continue to cut rates.
  • Chile’s economic activity rebounded in July, but challenges are persisting in key sectors.
  • Colombia’s labour market is sending mixed signals amid an uneven economic recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

2 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's labour market starting to show signs of moderation

  • Brazil’s labour market showed resilience in H1, yet signs of a gradual slowdown are starting to emerge.
  • Leading indicators signal the labour market is plateauing, due to tighter financial conditions.
  • Industrial gains offset consumption challenges in Chile; the recovery remains sluggish.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

30 August 2024 LatAm Monitor BCCh likely to continue easing as Chile's economy struggles

  • Chile’s latest data paint a picture of a struggling economy, with risks tilted to the downside.
  • We expect the BCCh to resume rate cuts to support the economic upturn, but electricity tariffs pose a risk.
  • Improving external demand, rate cuts and Fed easing will support the economic recovery in 2025.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,