Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

  • In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

November 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ECONOMY SLOWS AS DOMESTIC DEMAND SOFTENS

  • POLITICAL NOISE AND EXTERNAL UNCERTAINTY DOMINATE

1 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Inflation eases further; Copom likely to cut rates in January

  • Disinflation in Brazil is broadening across goods and services, as supply conditions remain favourable.
  • A strong BRL, cooling demand, and easing core pressures will push headline inflation lower in Q1.
  • Copom signals patience but improving data support the case for a cautious rate-cutting cycle soon.

24 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's recovery stalls as technical recession looms in H2

  • Mexico’s Q3 GDP contraction confirms momentum has stalled, with a base-effect-driven recession likely.
  • Industrial weakness, soft job markets and fading public investment continue to weigh on activity.
  • Lower interest rates and easing inflation will support a mild 2026 upturn, contingent on trade clarity.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: Momentum fades as mining weakens, while domestic demand holds firm.

PM Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, November, 2025

  • In one line: On hold, reflecting a cautious global backdrop despite continued soft inflation.

17 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's inflation outlook is deteriorating; BanRep cautious

  • Colombia’s sticky services inflation, indexation pressures and wage risks limit BanRep’s options.
  • The resilient domestic demand and job market are sustaining growth despite fragile external conditions.
  • Fiscal uncertainty, political noise and a widening trade deficit challenge BanRep’s cautious stance into 2026.

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, September, 2025

  • In one line: Weak end to Q3 confirms sluggish household demand amid tight financial conditions.

PM Datanote: CPI, Chile, October, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation eases, pointing to softer Q4 average.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, October, 2025

  • In one line: Headline inflation drops again in October, supporting Banxico’s cautious easing path.

10 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico cautious as core inflation stickiness curbs easing prospects

  • Core inflation in Mexico remains stubborn near 4%, prompting Banxico to add a hawkish tilt to its tone.
  • GDP growth is weakening as industry shrinks and consumption stagnates amid tighter credit conditions.
  • Further rate cuts will hinge on stable inflation, fiscal prudence and limited trade disruption.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

3 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico's GDP falls in Q3

  • BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
  • …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
  • Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.

27 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's election nears as markets balance optimism and political risk

  • Mr. Kast has steady support in Chile, but fragmented politics and social tensions cloud reform prospects.
  • Macro fundamentals remain sound, though capex weakness limits near-term growth momentum.
  • Fiscal credibility and governance will determine the durability of Chile’s post-election market stability.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,