- In one line: Labour wins a huge majority but will need to move fast with policy changes.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Exit poll projects large Labour majority.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Still weak but registrations will pick up later this year.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Two steps forward, one step back.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: More encouragement for the MPC to cut rates.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Consumers are back in business.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: House prices rise as mortgage rates look set to fall again.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Manufacturing continues to recover solidly.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: GDP growth rebounds as consumers find their mojo.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- Q1 GDP growth was raised to 0.7% quarter-to quarter, and the expansion was broad-based.
- We expect GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q2, and 0.3% in Q3 and Q4...
- ...As strong real income growth and stabilising saving boost consumer spending.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- The headline PMI dropped to 51.7, suggesting growth will slow to just 0.1% quarter-to-quarter.
- Resilient new orders and hints of an election-driven spending pause suggest the PMI will rebound.
- The services output price balance is little changed in 11 months, pointing to sticky price pressures.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: The MPC take another step to a cut.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Borrowing close to Budget forecasts, but unrealistic spending plans mean the next government will borrow more and raise taxes.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line:Shoppers return in force, offering upside risks to Q2 GDP.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Strengthening real wage growth and emerging hopes for the economy boost consumer confidence.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- The headline PMI dropped to 51.7, suggesting growth will slow to just 0.1% quarter-to-quarter.
- Resilient new orders and hints of an election-driven spending pause suggest the PMI will rebound.
- The services output price balance is little changed in 11 months, pointing to sticky price pressures.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: House prices keep rising despite higher mortgage rates.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Persistent services inflation means more delay to rate cuts.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- The MPC can take some comfort from one-year consumer inflation expectations falling back to average.
- But five-year expectations are elevated, and trust in the central bank is failing to recover as inflation falls.
- Trust in the BoE is faring worse than trust in the ECB, suggesting UK inflation will prove more persistent.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Higher mortgage rates take a toll but estate agents expect a recovery later in the year.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
