Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Daily Monitor Datanotes Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, October 2025

  • In one line: Fiscal worries begin to weigh on consumer spending.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, November 2025

  • In one line: Dovish hold, so we are comfortable with our call for a December cut. 

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, October 2025

  • In one line: Firms brush off Budget uncertainty, and steady growth should keep the MPC on hold.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, October 2025

  • In one line: Predictable correction after the strongest September in five years, the underlying trend is up.

7 November 2025 UK Monitor We reiterate our call for a cut in December then rates on hold

  • The MPC’s new guidance leaves us comfortable reiterating our call for a December rate cut.
  • Rate-setters also point to a slower pace of cuts next year as Bank Rate approaches neutral…
  • ...And room for only one more cut after December, unless GDP growth turns out weaker-than-expected.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, October 2025

  • In one line: Reopening after the cyber attack boosts the manufacturing PMI, but the outlook remains challenging.

6 November 2025 UK Monitor Only 21 sleeps to go until the Budget, but firms brush off worries

  • We expect Budget tax hikes and spending cuts of £40B to deliver double the previous fiscal headroom.
  • The devil is in the detail for the MPC, however, which likely needs to wait and see the Budget before acting.
  • Firms are brushing off tax speculation; the PMI signals growth close to potential and stabilising jobs.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,