Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Daily Monitor Weekly Monitor Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

7 May 2025 UK Monitor Price pressures too strong for the MPC to shift to full 'dove mode'

  • Uncertainty hammered the PMI in April, suggesting a chance that UK GDP will fall in Q2.
  • The MPC will retain some caution, however, as the PMI shows underlying inflation accelerating.
  • Rate-setters can get away with a couple of precautionary rate cuts in May and June.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

1 May 2025 UK Monitor MPC preview: all about the likely new downside scenario

  • We expect the MPC to cut Bank Rate by 25bp next week, with two members favouring a 50bp reduction.
  • The MPC will likely judge that lower market expectations for Bank Rate are mostly warranted.
  • High uncertainty will sap growth, and a new disinflationary scenario should support faster rate cuts.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,