UK Publications
Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
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Datanotes Daily Monitor Chartbook Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)
- In one line: House prices fall in April, but the market will recover quickly.
- In one line: ONS vehicle duty correction cuts inflation, news was small, inflation pressures remain sticky.
- In one line:Public finances deteriorate in May, tax-hike speculation to mount over the summer.
- In one line: Consumers’ confidence inches up, but it will be tested over the summer.
- In one line: Rates and guidance unchanged in June, but a dovish tilt to the minutes.
- In one line:Retail sales tank in May but will rebound.
- In one line: Activity rises and price pressures fall, but geopolitical stress a rising worry.
- Inflation fell in May, as the ONS chopped 0.1pp off price growth to correct for the error in April’s data.
- Headline CPI at 3.4% in May, down from 3.5%, would have been unchanged without the ONS’s adjustment.
- Energy price increases mean we now expect inflation to peak at 3.7% in September, up from 3.6% before.
- In one line: Employment growth eases according to the REC, but the worst of the jobs slowdown appears over.
- In one line:GDP falls in April but it will rebound as tax-hike-induced effects fade.
- Five-year household inflation expectations hit a record high in May, adjusting for a break in the BoE’s survey.
- Inflation expectations have surged more since August 2024 than past behaviour would have signalled.
- Elevated inflation expectations mean the MPC cannot simply ‘look through’ above-target inflation.
- In one line: A dovish release that raises the chance of the MPC easing policy again in August.
- In one line: BRC retail sales growth stronger than the headline suggests, consumer spending will remain robust.
- In one line: DMP raises the chance of an August cut, but the survey will likely recover further in June.
- In one line: Construction PMI should improve only slowly as sentiment remains weak.
- In one line: Falling interest rates and a healthy consumer will support car registrations.
- In one line: Growth has been steady, if unspectacular, once we account for the PMI’s excess sensitivity to uncertainty.
- In one line: Falling saving and more borrowing supporting consumption should keep GDP growth ticking along despite a drag from investment.
- In one line: Manufacturing is past the worst as tariff uncertainty fades.
- In one line: House prices rebound in May, but the stamp-duty-unwind has more room to run.
