UK Publications
Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Datanotes Weekly Monitor Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)
- Surveys support our call for GDP growth to have picked up to 0.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q4.
- A dovish MPC means we have brought forward our forecast for the next cut to March, from April.
- We think this will be the last reduction in this rate cycle, however, as wages are proving sticky.
- In one line: Dovish vote and minutes make March close call and signal a desire to cut twice this year at least.
- In one line: Construction activity to grind only modestly higher as tailwinds dissipate.
- In one line: Autos registrations will continue to rise slowly over the coming year.
- In one line: Rebounding growth as uncertainty falls and stubborn price pressures point to just one Bank Rate cut this year.
- In one line: Manufacturing activity can rise at a steady rate in 2026.
- In one line: More downbeat money and credit data, but good enough to signal economic growth close to potential.
- In one line: House price inflation will continue to steadily rise over the coming year.
- In one line: Economic momentum to build in Q1.
- In one line:Retail sales rebound and have further to recover in 2026.
- In one line: Consumers' confidence can continue to rise slowly in 2026.
- The labour market is still loosening gradually, but price pressures are sticky and growth is rebounding.
- Rising consumers’ confidence and the jump in the flash PMI suggest positive momentum in Q1.
- We remain comfortable with our call for just one more cut to Bank Rate this year, in April.
- In one line: Underlying inflation remians sticky, even though headline CPI is set to temporarily slow in the first half of 2026.
- In one line: Enough to allow the MPC to wait until April to cut again.
- Last week brought evidence that the economy has rebounded smartly from the annual Budget circus.
- GDP growth is on track to rise 0.1% quarter-to-quarter in Q4, 10bp more than the MPC assumed.
- We look for a 25K month-to-month payroll fall in December, and inflation to tick up to 3.3%.
- In one line: Loosening credit availability will help growth and falling secured credit defaults point to limited household distress.
- In one line: The headline trade balance will improve as falls in erratic components unwind.
- In one line:November flattered by unwinding hit to autos, but growth is still on track to beat the MPC's call in Q4.
- In one line: The housing market is primed for a recovery in 2026.
- In one line: Few reasons for builders to be more optimistic in 2026, so the construction PMI will remain weak.
