Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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March 2024 Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, September 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing overshoot shrinks but the Chancellor still has to raise taxes or cut spending by at least £25B.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, July 2025

  • In one line:The Chancellor will still have to raise taxes in October despite borrowing matching official forecasts.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, June 2025

  • In one line:Autumn tax hikes are likely and will probably be backloaded.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, May 2025

  • In one line:Public finances deteriorate in May, tax-hike speculation to mount over the summer.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing likely overshot the OBR’s projections in April, we still expect tax rises by the end of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, March 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in March as buyers rush to beat stamp duty, but we expect a partial unwind in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2025

  • In one line: Small boost from tariff-front running, which likely continued as President Trump pushed back reciprocal tariffs by 90-days.

UK Datanote: UK GDP March 2025

  • In one line:Fading consumer caution will keep GDP ticking along.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2025

  • In one line: Gradually easing labour market justifies further gradual rate cuts.
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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,