Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Daily Monitor

20 December 2023 UK Monitor Falling Mortgage Rates Point to a Revival in House Prices in 2024

  • Timely indicators of house-purchase demand have strengthened, but not by quite enough to raise prices yet.
  • House price indices still paint very different pictures; we expect the official index to be revised down.
  • Demand, however, will recover further in Q1, as mortgage rates continue to fall; expect a 5% rise in prices in 2024. 

Samuel TombsUK

19 December 2023 UK Monitor Consumer Energy Bills to Fall by 10% in April, Driving Down Inflation

  • Ofgem likely will reduce its default tariff cap by 10% in April, if wholesale prices remain at their current level.
  • Current weights imply this will reduce the all-items CPI by 0.5pp; the drag might be larger after weight updates.
  • The recent fall in oil prices has improved the CPI inflation outlook too; we expect it to average just 2.7% in 2024.

Samuel TombsUK

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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,