Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Daily Monitor Chartbook

2 May 2025 UK Monitor GDP likely unchanged in March as erratic growth unwinds

  • We expect zero GDP growth in March as industrial production falls and service activity slows.
  • Quarter-to-quarter growth of 0.6% in Q1 will comfortably beat the MPC’s projection of 0.3%.
  • GDP growth will slow further in Q2-to-Q4 2025 as the trade war begins to feed into the hard data.
Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

1 May 2025 UK Monitor MPC preview: all about the likely new downside scenario

  • We expect the MPC to cut Bank Rate by 25bp next week, with two members favouring a 50bp reduction.
  • The MPC will likely judge that lower market expectations for Bank Rate are mostly warranted.
  • High uncertainty will sap growth, and a new disinflationary scenario should support faster rate cuts.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,