Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor

13 October 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: consumer ticking along; job falls to ease this week

  • The strongest September car sales in five years indicate signs of life in the consumer.
  • September’s REC survey points to easing payroll falls, so we look for an 8K month-to-month drop.
  • We doubt graduate recruitment will drag much on payroll growth in September.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Budget uncertainty will keep housing market weak until November.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: The PMI has been a poor construction indicator lately, official output will probably hold up.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, September 2025

  • In one line: Strongest September car sales for three years bodes well for GDP.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: Dovish as activity growth slows, price pressures ease and margins are squeezed, but Q3 average PMI was OK.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, September 2025

  • In one line: Employment falls fail to open spare capacity so wage and price pressures remain stubbornly too high.

6 October 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: growth close to potential keeps inflation sticky

  • September’s weak PMI sharpens the downside risk to our calls, but we stick to 0.2% quarterly growth in Q3.
  • GDP growth was well balanced in H1, and credit flows point to solid private demand in Q3 too.
  • Stubborn wages and inflation in the DMP, as spare capacity fails to open up, imply a cautious MPC.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity to remain weak in the second half of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, September 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in September but we look for a subdued second half of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing output will slowly recover in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, September 2025

  • In one line: The PMI cools in September but growth will still run at a healthy pace in Q3.

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2025

  • In one line: Growth still reliant on government, but business investment growing through the H1 headwinds is an encouraging sign.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, August 2025

  • In one line: Confident consumers and rising corporate credit flow signal healthy GDP growth.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,