Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2025

  • In one line: Gradually easing labour market justifies further gradual rate cuts.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, April 2025

  • In one line: Easter distorts the BRC, but look through that and retail sales volumes are still rising strongly.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Job and pay growth improve slightly as payroll tax drag eases, but the MPC downplay the REC now.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, April 2024

  • In one line: The housing market slowdown will be temporary according to the RICS.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, May 2025

  • In one line: Keeping ‘gradual’ guidance disappointed market expectations, but the MPC are on track for a couple more cuts this year. 

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, April 2025

  • In one line: Dovish DMP but the survey was run in the eye of the storm, business responses would likely be different now.

12 May 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: MPC cautiously more dovish

  • The MPC turned more dovish last week, just not as dramatically as the market expected.
  • The US–UK trade deal will have a small impact on trade flows but could relieve some uncertainty.
  • Strong GDP growth and upward payroll revisions should maintain the sense of monetary caution.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: The Construction PMI improves but signals falling activity, it will remain weak for some time.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: Back-to-back rate cuts are likely as sentiment collapses, but accelerating inflation will keep MPC guidance cautious.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, April 2025

  • In one line: Car registrations tank as duties increase.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April as the rush to beat stamp duty increases unwinds, they will rise in H2.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,