US Publications
Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Weekly Monitor Emerging Asia Samuel Tombs
- The latest batch of data for August have led us to lift our forecast for Q3 GDP growth to 2.5%, from 2.0%.
- Households’ saving rate has been revised up sharply, but the stock of liquid assets still looks low.
- Further labor market weakening will depress income growth and prompt many households to save more.
Samuel TombsUS
- The modest easing planned by the FOMC will be too little, too late, to stabilize the unemployment rate.
- Reductions in the funds rate will lower private sector net interest payments less decisively than in the past.
- Expect a federal funding extension bill to be passed just in time, but bigger squabbles loom next year.
Samuel TombsUS
- Households have spent all their “excess” savings; liquid assets returned to their long-run trend in Q2.
- Bank deposits are more unevenly distributed than in the 2010s; rising unemployment will lift saving.
- Fed easing will be less stimulative than usual, due to mortgage refinancing during the pandemic.
Samuel TombsUS