Pantheon Macroeconomics
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The rising trend has flattened off; expect a run of lower numbers this fall.
Weekly data are noisy; the underlying trend is still deteriorating.
Underlying claims rising only slowly for now, but expect a faster deterioration ahead.
U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,