Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Weekly Monitor ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder) Gabriella Dickens Samuel Tombs

9 June 2025 US Monitor Mr. Trump is right; the labor market will need substantial Fed easing soon

  • Moderate payroll growth in May offers little reassurance, due to the re-emerging pattern of downward revisions.
  • Hiring intentions indicators point to payroll growth slowing to about 75K in Q3; federal job cuts will continue.
  • The trend of slowing payroll growth will be startling by the FOMC’s September meeting, compelling easing.

2 June 2025 US Monitor Weaker consumers' spending and higher core inflation lie ahead

  • Consumers’ spending is on track for respectable growth in Q2, but a sharper slowdown looms...
  • ...As tariff-induced prices increases push up core PCE inflation, weighing on real incomes.
  • Tariff-related distortions to the trade and inventories likely will artificially boost Q2 GDP growth.
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