Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Weekly Monitor

5 February 2025 US Monitor Falling job openings symptomatic of too tight monetary policy

  • Job openings are still trending down; catch-up growth in healthcare hiring is fizzling out.
  • JOLTS net hiring in December was more muted than payroll growth; January jobs will probably disappoint. 
  • Auto sales likely were hit by bad weather in January: pre-tariff purchases probably have further left to run.

Samuel TombsUS

4 February 2025 US Monitor Unusually cold weather likely depressed January payroll growth

  • We look for a 125K increase in January payrolls, well below the 170K consensus.
  • Survey indicators present an incoherent picture, but unusually cold weather likely hit employment.
  • The small fall in continuing claims points to a stable unemployment rate, but the risks are to the upside.

Samuel TombsUS

3 February 2025 US Monitor A growth scare looms, as tariffs hit and the saving rate rebounds

  • The tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump will lift consumer prices by 0.6%, if they are maintained.
  • Recent strong growth in consumption can be largely attributed to preemptive purchases of imports.
  • A sub-4% saving rate is unsustainable; expect sub-2% GDP growth soon, as consumption growth slows.

Samuel TombsUS

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Keywords for: U.S. Documents

U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,