Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Emerging Asia

PM Datanote: US Jobless Claims, August 24

The rising trend has flattened off; expect a run of lower numbers this fall.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US Durable Goods Orders, July

 Ignore the headline, the underlying trend is very weak.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: Existing Home Sales, July

Expect a small rise in H2 sales, but the weakening labor market will constrain activity.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US S&P Global Composite PMI, August

Clearer signs that services sector employment is rolling over.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Jobless Claims, August 17

Underlying claims have plateaued, and will probably slip back in the near term.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Housing Starts, July

 A weather-related plunge in July, but residential construction set for a weak Q3.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US NAHB Housing Market Index, August

Lower mortgage rates came too late for this month's survey.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Retail Sales, July

Consumers keep spending, despite deteriorating fundamentals.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Jobless Claims, August 10

 Weekly data are noisy; the underlying trend is still deteriorating.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US industrial production, July

The underlying trend still looks flat; expect continued stagnation ahead.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US CPI, July

Another month of “good data”, implying a 0.13% core PCE print.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey, July

Headline index surges, but the details still point to weakness.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

US Jobless Claims

Underlying claims rising only slowly for now, but expect a faster deterioration ahead. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US Employment Report, July

This week’s Fed inaction was a mistake; the case for 50bp in September is strong. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

PM Datanote: US Productivity / Jobless Claims

Meagre growth in unit labor costs supports the case for policy easing.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Chicago PMI & Pending Home Sales

The PMI is probably a poor guide to the national picture.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

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Keywords for: U.S. Documents

U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,