Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor Global

18 February 2025 US Monitor January's weak retail sales due to much more than just bad weather

  • Adverse weather likely explains only part of the steep drop in retail sales in January.
  • The rush of spending on durable goods in anticipation of new tariffs already is showing signs of fading.
  • …That sets the stage for much slower growth in consumers’ spending in Q1.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

10 February 2025 US Monitor Stabilizing jobs numbers remove the need for near-term Fed easing

  • The recent upward inflexion in payroll growth likely will be tempered by revisions...
  • ...But January’s numbers likely were depressed by bad weather; expect a better print in February.
  • A mid-year slowing in payroll growth still looks likely, but we now look for the FOMC’s next easing in June

Samuel TombsUS

3 February 2025 US Monitor A growth scare looms, as tariffs hit and the saving rate rebounds

  • The tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump will lift consumer prices by 0.6%, if they are maintained.
  • Recent strong growth in consumption can be largely attributed to preemptive purchases of imports.
  • A sub-4% saving rate is unsustainable; expect sub-2% GDP growth soon, as consumption growth slows.

Samuel TombsUS

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Keywords for: U.S. Documents

U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,