Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor

1 April 2024 US Monitor Core PCE back on track following the January jump

  • February’s subdued core PCE price data support the idea that January’s spike was a one-time fluke.
  • Consumption is on track for a 2% gain in Q1, down from 3.3% in Q4, and real income growth is slowing
  • A modest uptick in ISM manufacturing is a decent bet, but the sector remains weak.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

25 March 2024 US Monitor Manufacturing output is stabilizing, but a real rebound remains distant

  • The March Philly Fed and S&P surveys suggest the manufacturing sector’s downturn is over...
  • ...But ongoing inventory rundowns and depressed global demand point to only modest growth ahead.
  • New home sales likely rose for a third straight month in February; homebuilders will hang on to market share.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

18 March 2024 US Monitor The wall between the Fed and the private sector is gone; rates now hurt

  • The shrinking stock of excess savings has exposed most households and small firms to the Fed’s hikes…
  • Recent evidence of slowing growth is not yet definitive, but it has our attention.
  • Nothing would shift market expectations of faster easing than a clear softening in payrolls; is it coming?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

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U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,