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11th Jun 2024 17:42USDaily Monitor

  • The Fed’s hawkish dotplot is likely to have a short shelf life; the data will force faster easing than they expect.
  • The May core CPI slowdown was deep-rooted; we expect just 0.20% average gains through year-end.
  •  CPI data signal a 0.16% rise in the core PCE deflator, but we will finalize our estimate after today’s PPI.

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Keywords for: 13 June 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence