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16th May 2024 18:33USWeekly Monitor

  • The lagged effect of tight credit and high rates is starting to bite; we're cutting our 2024 and 2025 forecasts.
  • The small business sector is under pressure, and consumers are starting to wobble.
  • Sustained slow growth will push unemployment up and inflation down; yields will drop, and stocks will struggle.

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Keywords for: 20 May 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence