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23rd Jul 2024 09:33USDaily Monitor

  • We think GDP grew by 2.2% in Q2, but we expect a weaker second half as consumption softens.
  • A 2.7% rise in the core PCE deflator should reassure the Fed that the 3.7% spike in Q1 was a blip.
  • The further uptick in the S&P Global Composite PMI probably overstates the economy's strength. 

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Keywords for: 25 July 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence