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26th Mar 2025 10:58USDaily Monitor

  • Today’s PCE report likely will show a rebound in real consumption and a 0.4% rise in the core deflator.
  • Threatened auto tariffs would likely raise the core price level by 0.2-to-0.4percentage points.
  • Soaring gold imports imply a much smaller drag on Q1 GDP from net trade than headline data suggest.

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Keywords for: 28 March 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence