Pantheon Macroeconomics

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4th Jun 2024 17:52USDaily Monitor

  • We expect EURUSD to weaken by 8% to 1.18 by year-end, as the Fed eases faster than the ECB.
  • Initial claims likely rose last week; public holidays depress them less now than seasonal adjustment assumes.
  • The ISM services index is an unreliable guide to activity, but a weak employment balance points to trouble ahead.

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Keywords for: 6 June 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence