Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Daily Monitor Duncan Wrigley

16 October 2025 China+ Monitor China's credit demand still soft, with M1 boosted by lively stock market

  • China’s loan growth slowed in September, indicative of weak credit demand, notably among corporates.
  • M1 growth surged, but this likely reflects the robust stock market, rather than domestic demand reviving.
  • The PBoC is likely to save policy rate cuts to stabilise sentiment if US-China trade frictions worsen severely.

9 October 2025 China+ Monitor Japan's wages suffer an August knock, due to volatile bonuses

  • Japan’s real household spending continued to rise in August, despite falling real incomes.
  • Nominal wages took a hit, as bonuses plunged, notably in tourism-related sectors and manufacturing.
  • The BoJ will be looking for clues about 2026 wage growth, but is also wary of recent JPY weakness.

1 October 2025 China+ Monitor Targeted support to trigger Chinese investment rebound in Q4

  • China’s investment stimulus measures, announced on Monday, should spur an investment rebound in Q4.
  • Both September manufacturing PMIs point to a modest but broad improvement in activity.
  • Services activity slowed as tourism entered the off-peak season; the construction sector remains weak.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence