Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

4 July 2024 UK Monitor The PMI falls but beats consensus; it will rebound

  • The PMI fell in June, but we think this will not become a trend...
  • …as businesses will look to ramp up activity if the election delivers a clear result.
  • Output prices picked up in June, squeezing the MPC’s room for manoeuvre at its August meeting.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, June 2024

  • In one line: House prices rise as mortgage rates look set to fall again.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

3 July 2024 UK Monitor We expect CPI inflation dropped to 1.9% in June

  • We expect CPI inflation to fall to 1.9% in June, from 2.0% in May, 0.1pp below the MPC’s forecast.
  • Inflation will be lowered by falling food inflation and a slight easing in the pace of services price gains.
  • We expect services inflation to exceed the MPC’s forecast by the same margin as in May.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, June 2024

  • In one line: Manufacturing continues to recover solidly.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

2 July 2024 UK Monitor Lower consumer saving and firms raising finance will help growth

  • Money and credit data for May suggest consumption and investment will drive brisk GDP growth.
  • Consumers’ reducing the amount they save to pre-Covid norms suggests they are willing to spend.
  • Firms raised £10.4B of external finance in the past three months, above the £7.2B 2015-to-19 average.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q1 2024

  • In one line: GDP growth rebounds as consumers find their mojo.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

1 July 2024 UK Monitor Consumers will continue to drive solid GDP growth

  • Q1 GDP growth was raised to 0.7% quarter-to quarter, and the expansion was broad-based.
  • We expect GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q2, and 0.3% in Q3 and Q4...
  • ...As strong real income growth and stabilising saving boost consumer spending.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence