Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

11 January 2024 LatAm Monitor Interest Rate Cuts Point to an Upbeat 2024, Despite Threats

  • Brazil — At an all-time high, and 2024 looks solid
  • Mexico — Improving, but elections could bring noise
  • Chile —  Rally to continue after political risk eases

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 January 2024 LatAm Monitor Interest Rate Cuts Nearing in Mexico, Despite the Inflation Uptick

  • Inflation in Mexico edged up in December, chiefly due to non-core pressures, as bad weather hit.
  • Core inflation continues to fall, at the margin, thanks to the lagged effect of the MXN rebound last year.
  • We expect Banxico to cut rates next month, but poor weather conditions could delay action to March.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 January 2024 LatAm Monitor Disinflation Continues in Chile; BCCh Breathes a Sigh of Relief

  • Rapid disinflation continues in Chile, which will allow BCCh to accelerate the pace of monetary easing.
  • Fighting a subpar economic recovery is now BCCh’s priority, assuming the CLP remains under control.
  • Improving external accounts are allowing bolder action, and pointing to a capex contraction in H1.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

22 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Policy Action in the Andes Due to a Dovish Fed; to Be Continued in H1

  • The easing cycle has started in Colombia, as the economy struggles and thanks to the Fed’s shift.
  • Chile’s BCCh accelerated the pace of easing, as inflation is falling and economic activity faltering.
  • The trajectory of the Fed’s policy will determine the magnitude and timing of interest rate cuts in LatAm. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

21 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Political Noise will Remain High in 2024

  • Mexico — Political noise on the increase
  • Chile — Certainty after the constitutional vote?
  • Peru — Calm for now 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

19 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Milei Starts Working Hard; Chile Rejects the New Constitution

  • President Milei has rolled up his sleeves, announcing concrete measures to put the economy on track.
  • Inflation rebounded sharply in November, and the rapid uptrend will persist over the first half of 2024.
  • Chile rejected a constitution proposal for the second time in a year; does this mean uncertainty?

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence