Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

January 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

EXTERNAL RISKS ARE FORCING A CAUTIOUS APPROACH…

  • …THE PETRO-TRUMP SAGA HIGHLIGHTS THE GROWING THREAT

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

  • In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

  • In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

31 January 2025 LatAm Monitor LatAm policymakers struggling with inflation risks amid global noise

  • LatAm policymakers are facing increased inflation risks amid elevated global uncertainty and threats.
  • Brazil’s COPOM maintained its hawkish stance with a bold hike, continuing to fight inflation near-term.
  • Chile’s BCCh paused its easing, adopting a neutral bias, as inflation pressures increase.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

29 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's external accounts under pressure despite strong FDI inflows

  • Brazil’s economic resilience is tested by volatile trade dynamics and shifting global investment patterns.
  • Foreign direct investment improved in 2024, while portfolio investments reflect fiscal uncertainty.
  • Chile’s senate approved a pension bill, reshaping social security and addressing economic issues.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

28 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's diplomatic team averts full-blown economic crisis

  • Colombia’s diplomatic team successfully averted a full-blown economic and political crisis with the US.
  • Their Presidents’ social-media spat almost triggered a massive trade war; LatAm is watching.
  • Mexico achieved a record trade surplus with the US in 2024 amid economic tensions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA-15, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Overshooting expectations, and the outlook remains difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

27 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Persistent inflation pressures in Brazil; Mexico's recovery falters

  • The modest monthly ICPA-15 gain masks underlying inflation pressures in Brazil.
  • External noise and fiscal uncertainty complicate Brazil’s inflation outlook and policy decisions.
  • Mexico’s economy slowed in Q4, as policy uncertainty, high real rates and global risks persist.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

24 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's inflation dips in January as Banxico prepares for strategic cut

  • Disinflation in Mexico is full on track, prompting Banxico to consider accelerated rate cuts ahead.
  • Core inflation pressures linger beneath weak domestic demand and subdued commodity prices.
  • Colombia’s economic recovery wavers amid political noise, violence and sluggish Q4 GDP performance.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

23 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Navigating political threats under Trump 2.0

  • Brazil — Fiscal reform, and Lula’s diplomatic efforts
  • Mexico — Troubles due to Mr. Trump’s re-election
  • Chile —  General election approaching

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Mexico Retail Sales, November, 2024

  • In one line: Under strain, due to still-tight financial conditions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

22 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's retail sector will continue to struggle in H1 2025

  • Retail sales plummet as Banxico signals potential bold rate cuts to ease the pain on economic activity.
  • Ms. Sheinbaum’s early presidency has been marked by complex reforms and a difficult political picture.
  • Mr. Milei’s economic wins: a soaring trade surplus, impressive fiscal surplus, and plummeting inflation.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

21 January 2025 LatAm Monitor Will headwinds from a protectionist US hurt the Mexican economy?

  • Weak capex and declining private consumption raise alarms for Mexico’s near-term economic outlook.
  • Potential tariff threats and trade negotiations could complicate economic ties between US and Mexico.
  • Ongoing reforms and budget deficits will hinder Mexico’s economic flexibility and growth prospects.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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