Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

6 September 2024 LatAm Monitor BCCh cuts rates and projects a faster path to neutral by mid-2025

  • The BCCh resumed its easing, reflecting weaker growth and stable inflation expectations.
  • The Bank signalled a faster path to neutral, in Q2 2025, acknowledging weaker domestic demand.
  • We expect further rate cuts, to 5% by late Q4 and 4% by Q2 2025, but uncertainty is elevated.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

August 2024 - Latin America Chartbook

…WHILE BALANCING INFLATION AND GROWTH

  • LATIN AMERICA ECONOMIC CHARTBOOK, AUGUST 2024

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

4 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil enjoys strong growth in H1, but challenges loom near term

  • Brazil’s GDP surged 1.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q2, driven by strong industrial and service sector growth.
  • Labour-market strength and government spending bolstered the economic recovery in H1…
  • …But challenges loom: fiscal pressures and weakening indicators signal a potential slowdown.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: GDP, Second Quarter, Brazil, 2024

  • In one line: GDP growth surges in Q2 amid strong labour market.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Unemployment rate, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line: Unemployment declines but economic challenges lie ahead.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Chile, July, 2024

  • In one line: Mixed start to Q3, with industrial gains amid consumption challenges.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

3 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Peru's core inflation hits the target, enabling BCRP to ease further


  • Peru’s inflation is easing, as the core rate has hit BCRP’s target; it likely will continue to cut rates.
  • Chile’s economic activity rebounded in July, but challenges are persisting in key sectors.
  • Colombia’s labour market is sending mixed signals amid an uneven economic recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

2 September 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's labour market starting to show signs of moderation

  • Brazil’s labour market showed resilience in H1, yet signs of a gradual slowdown are starting to emerge.
  • Leading indicators signal the labour market is plateauing, due to tighter financial conditions.
  • Industrial gains offset consumption challenges in Chile; the recovery remains sluggish.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence