Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

20 February 2025 LatAm Monitor President Trump's second term reshaping LatAm's political landscape-RESEND

  • Mexico — Trade, security and tariffs
  • Colombia —  Leadership on shaky ground
  • Chile —  Presidential race gathering momentum 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

19 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's economy slows, while Colombia's activity defies politics

  • Brazil’s economic slowdown is deepening and will force the COPOM to end its tightening cycle soon.
  • Colombia’s economy gathered speed in Q4, thanks to lower interest rates and despite political noise.
  • Leading indicators point to a healthy H1, though some sectors will continue to lag behind the upturn.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

18 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Peru's BCRP leaves door open to further easing, but risks are elevated

  • The BCRP held rates steady; economic activity is gathering speed but disinflation is fully on track.
  • The Board has left the door open to further cuts, but external risks and inflation remain key factors.
  • Argentina’s inflation is slowing as Mr. Milei’s economic policies yield results, despite lingering issues.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, December, 2024

  • In one line: An ugly finish to 2024, and Q1 2025 will be difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

14 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's economic activity ends Q4 on weak note, and H1 looks poor

  • Private consumption in Brazil slowed rapidly in Q4, and weakening fundamentals point to a poor H1.
  • Falling consumer confidence and worsening PMIs highlight the continued economic struggles.
  • Chile’s BCCh faces inflation pressures, amid speculation on potential interest rate hikes soon.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Mixed fortunes and cautious optimism in early 2025

  • Brazil — A solid start to the year as sentiment improves
  • Mexico — A solid rebound, but threats remain
  • Colombia — Economic tailwinds offset political noise

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

12 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Temporary disinflation in Brazil; Mexico's industrial sector woes

  • Brazil’s inflation dipped slightly in January, but the near-term outlook remains bleak…
  • …But pressures will ease in H2 as weakening domestic and external demand weigh on inflation.
  • A very, very ugly outlook for Mexico’s industrial sector under Trump 2.0; it could be avoided though.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

11 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Balancing act for BanRep and BCCh as inflation sees 'temporary' shocks

  • Colombia’s disinflation has paused, complicating BanRep’s efforts to support activity.
  • Increased political noise, elevated fiscal strain and external uncertainty are challenges for policymakers.
  • Chile’s electricity-tariff hike sparks an inflation surge, dimming hopes for further rate cuts.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, February, 2025

  • In one line: A larger cut; improving inflation outlook allows for bolder action.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, February, 2025

  • In one line: A larger cut; improving inflation outlook allows for bolder action.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

  • In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

  • In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico accelerates easing, but US policy will influence the outlook

  • Banxico signals further rate cuts amid disinflation, economic slowdown and easing external pressures.
  • The better inflation outlook, however, faces threats from US policy risk and domestic policy noise.
  • The Board will likely cut rates to 8% this year, if President Trump doesn’t get in the way.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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