Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

14 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Trump 2.0 hurting LatAm markets and prospects

  • Brazil — Hit by global and domestic uncertainty
  • Mexico — Trump 2.0 hurting prospects
  • Colombia — Uncertainty looming large

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 November 2024 LatAm Monitor BCRP's more cautious bias reflects LatAm's strategy under Trump 2.0

  • The US election result signals economic challenges for LatAm, amid rising inflation and interest rates.
  • Peru’s BCRP has adopted a cautious stance due to global uncertainty and potential US tariff impacts.
  • Chile is facing deteriorating economic conditions as inflation surges and the CLP weakens sharply.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Chile, October, 2024

  • In one line: Headline inflation rebounds as electricity tariffs rise.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: CPI, Chile, October, 2024

  • In one line: Headline inflation rebounds as electricity tariffs rise.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Brazil, October, 2024

  • In one line: Rising inflation pressures on the back of bad weather conditions. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, October, 2024

  • In one line: Rising inflation pressures on the back of bad weather conditions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, November, 2024

  • In one line: A modest cut; approaching the end of the easing cycle.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

Global Datanote: CPI, Mexico, October, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rebound, but the outlook has deteriorated.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, October, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rebound, but the outlook has deteriorated.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

8 November 2024 LatAm Monitor LatAm central banks to adopt a hawkish stance post-US election

  • The US election result shifts monetary policy expectations; LatAm central banks’ stance to tighten.
  • Mr. Trump’s potential protectionist policies will exacerbate the economic challenges for LatAm.
  • Rising inflation risks and BRL depreciation forced Brazil’s COPOM to accelerate interest rate hikes.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, November, 2024

  • In one line: A bold 50bp hike to bring inflation expectations in check.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

7 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Hit by Mr. Trump's victory; but central banks will help to ease the pain

  • Brazilian Real — Uncertainty amid elevated risk
  • Mexican Peso — Risks increase after Mr. Trump’s win
  • Colombian Peso — Much noise for a vulnerable currency

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Chile's economic outlook amid stagnation and political shifts ahead

  • Economic activity is showing signs of stagnation as key sectors struggle with persistent challenges.
  • Political shifts indicate potential for business-friendly policies, given voter sentiment for change.
  • Future growth prospects depend on effective reforms, and stability in external conditions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

5 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's COPOM to hike rates amid domestic fiscal and external noise

  • Brazil’s economy remained solid in Q3, yet COPOM faces slowing momentum and external pressures.
  • The BRL sell-off, linked to US election uncertainty, means COPOM will consider an aggressive rate hike.
  • Peru’s core inflation rate has fallen, supporting further interest rate cuts by the BCRP this week.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

4 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's job market robust despite ongoing economic challenges

  • Brazil’s unemployment rate fell to 6.4%, reflecting a significant decline to the lowest level since 2013.
  • Record employment highlights a resilient labour market, but conditions likely will deteriorate soon.
  • BanRep likely will continue to cut interest rates, but external conditions are a key near-term threat.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: BanRep Rate Decision, Colombia, October, 2024

  • In one line: BanRep maintains steady 50bp rate cuts amid declining inflation and challenging global economic outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

October 2024 - Latin America Chartbook

MIXED RECOVERY FOR LATAM ECONOMIES

  • …AMID TEMPORARY INFLATION PRESSURES AND EXTERNAL THREATS

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

1 November 2024 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economy thriving in Q3, but outlook depends on US election

  • Mexico saw strong growth in Q3, driven by agriculture and services, yet challenges lie ahead.
  • Political uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election poses a risk to Mexico’s economy.
  • Key sectors are showing resilience, but external factors could hit future growth and capex decisions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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