Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, December, 2024

  • In one line: An ugly finish to 2024, and Q1 2025 will be difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

14 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's economic activity ends Q4 on weak note, and H1 looks poor

  • Private consumption in Brazil slowed rapidly in Q4, and weakening fundamentals point to a poor H1.
  • Falling consumer confidence and worsening PMIs highlight the continued economic struggles.
  • Chile’s BCCh faces inflation pressures, amid speculation on potential interest rate hikes soon.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Mixed fortunes and cautious optimism in early 2025

  • Brazil — A solid start to the year as sentiment improves
  • Mexico — A solid rebound, but threats remain
  • Colombia — Economic tailwinds offset political noise

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

12 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Temporary disinflation in Brazil; Mexico's industrial sector woes

  • Brazil’s inflation dipped slightly in January, but the near-term outlook remains bleak…
  • …But pressures will ease in H2 as weakening domestic and external demand weigh on inflation.
  • A very, very ugly outlook for Mexico’s industrial sector under Trump 2.0; it could be avoided though.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

11 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Balancing act for BanRep and BCCh as inflation sees 'temporary' shocks

  • Colombia’s disinflation has paused, complicating BanRep’s efforts to support activity.
  • Increased political noise, elevated fiscal strain and external uncertainty are challenges for policymakers.
  • Chile’s electricity-tariff hike sparks an inflation surge, dimming hopes for further rate cuts.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, February, 2025

  • In one line: A larger cut; improving inflation outlook allows for bolder action.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, February, 2025

  • In one line: A larger cut; improving inflation outlook allows for bolder action.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

  • In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

  • In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

Global Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico accelerates easing, but US policy will influence the outlook

  • Banxico signals further rate cuts amid disinflation, economic slowdown and easing external pressures.
  • The better inflation outlook, however, faces threats from US policy risk and domestic policy noise.
  • The Board will likely cut rates to 8% this year, if President Trump doesn’t get in the way.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, December, 2024

  • In one line: The first quarterly contraction in more than a year, and the outlook is difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

7 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial slowdown emerging; inflation fully under control in Peru

  • Brazil’s industrial output beat consensus in December, yet leading indicators point to a weakening trend.
  • January’s COPOM minutes reveal a hawkish stance, despite economic activity softening.
  • Peru’s inflation remains well on target, paving the way for a final rate cut in Q2, assuming a stable PEN.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 February 025 LatAm Monitor A solid start for LatAm currencies, but external noise remains a threat

  •  Brazilian Real — Resilience in the face of adversity
  • Mexican Peso — Complex economic and external waters
  • Colombian Peso — Trade and fiscal issues in the spotlight 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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