Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

30 August 2024 LatAm Monitor BCCh likely to continue easing as Chile's economy struggles

  • Chile’s latest data paint a picture of a struggling economy, with risks tilted to the downside.
  • We expect the BCCh to resume rate cuts to support the economic upturn, but electricity tariffs pose a risk.
  • Improving external demand, rate cuts and Fed easing will support the economic recovery in 2025.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

28 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Banxico's shift towards easing amid global noise and domestic risks

  • Mexico’s economic outlook suggests a continued shift towards monetary policy easing.
  • Declining core inflation and stagnant economic activity will allow Banxico to cut rates further.
  • The US Fed’s incoming easing cycle is one of the key reasons for further normalisation, but risks remain.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

27 August 2024 LatAm Monitor COPOM's cautious stance amid inflation risks and economic threats

  • Brazil’s COPOM is navigating inflation concerns and an economic slowdown, keeping a cautious stance.
  • Inflation risks persist despite recent data, which will force the COPOM to hold rates in the near term.
  • Softening economic activity, core inflation in check and the Fed’s easing will allow cuts in late Q4 or Q1.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, August

  • In one line: CBI orders and prices rebound as expected in August.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)UK

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, June, 2024

  • In one line: Manufacturing gains offset weakness in other sectors, for now.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line:  A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, July, 2024

  • In one line:  A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, August, 2024

  • In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, August, 2024

  • In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Mexico, August, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Mexico, August, 2024

  • In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, July, 2024

  • In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Mexico, July, 2024

  • In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: CPI, Chile, July, 2024

  • In one line: Inflation rebounds driven by rising electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Tackling inflation in Mexico and Chile is becoming difficult

  • Mexico and Chile face rising inflation, amid global turmoil and economic uncertainty.
  • Banxico and the BCCh will struggle to balance headline inflation control with economic growth needs.
  • Adverse weather and global issues complicate the inflation outlook, but Fed easing will bring relief.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

8 August 2024 LatAm FX Update A complex landscape of domestic and international forces

  • Brazilian Real — Challenges amidst easing external woes
  • Mexican Peso — Hurt by yen carry trade and global noise
  • Chilean Peso — Resilient despite copper price declines 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

7 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Banxico and BCRP face crucial rate decisions amid global turmoil

  • Central banks in Mexico and Peru navigate turbulent markets ahead of critical monetary policy meetings.
  • Global economic uncertainty forces policymakers to reassess monetary strategies amid financial volatility.
  • Policy decisions will increasingly hinge on the actions of the US Fed and geopolitical dynamics.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 August 2024 LatAm Monitor Chile's poor economic performance in Q2 bolsters case for rate cuts

  • Weak economic activity in Chile signals a need for further interest rate cuts, despite headwinds.
  • Confidence declines sharply, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainty and higher electricity tariffs.
  • Peru maintains benign inflation, allowing the BCRP to consider future rate cuts.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

5 August 2024 LatAm Monitor BanRep cuts rates, BCCh holds: monetary policy diverging in Andes

  • Colombia’s BanRep cut rates by 50bp amid a modest economic recovery and further inflation risks.
  • Chile’s BCCh was more cautious, keeping rates steady amid uncertainty driven by electricity tariffs.
  • BanRep has signaled further rate cuts, contrasting with BCCh’s more data-dependent approach.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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