Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, June, 2024

  • In one line: On hold, but rate cuts will resume soon, assuming the MXN stabilises.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

1 July 2024 LatAm Monitor Banxico holds rates steady but signals potential for future cuts

  • Banxico held rates at 11% amid the MXN sell-off and rising inflation but the split vote signals a dovish shift.
  • Policymakers hinted at future easing, as the economy weakens and inflation falls.
  • The resilient labour market could face headwinds if economic weakness persists.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Junel 2024 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM RECOVERY REMAINS RESILIENT...

  • ...BUT CHALLENGES PERSIST, PARTICULARLY ON THE POLICY FRONT

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA-15, Brazil, June, 2024

  • In one line: In line with expectations despite political noise and floods.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

28 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's inflation eases, but COPOM remains cautious amid uncertainty

  • Brazil’s inflation remains under control in June, but the COPOM is still cautious given the uncertainty.
  • Argentina’s GDP plunged in Q1 amid Mr. Milei’s structural adjustments to bring the economy back on track.
  • His government faces economic challenges despite high approval and efforts to curb inflation.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

26 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Colombia's ISE ticks up, but too early for a protracted recovery bet

  • Colombia’s economic activity rebounded in April, but growth momentum likely will be sluggish in H2.
  • Challenges persist amid political and policy uncertainty—hindering investment—and fiscal pressures.
  • The fiscal backdrop, as outlined in the MTFF, presents a complex picture of challenges and commitments.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, June

  • In one line: The long decline in core goods inflation has no further to run.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)UK

25 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Mexico's inflation uptick in June will force Banxico to stay put this week

  • Mexico’s inflation uptick in June signals caution from Banxico; the next rate cut is likely delayed to August.
  • Rising non-core inflation and MXN volatility challenge Banxico’s monetary policy stance.
  • Brazil’s foreign investment inflows show resilience despite economic challenges.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

24 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Mexican economy falters amid challenges and uncertainty

  • Mexico’s economy struggled in April amid headwinds; high rates and political uncertainty are threats.
  • Ms. Sheinbaum’s cabinet choices indicate a balance between ideological allies and technocratic expertise.
  • Concerns about power concentration are valid, but Ms. Sheinbaum is not merely AMLO’s puppet.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, June, 2024

  • In on line: A hawkish hold, prioritising inflation anchoring, and restoring credibility.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, June, 2024

  • In on line: A hawkish hold, prioritising inflation anchoring, and restoring credibility.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

21 June 2024 LatAm Monitor BCB and BCCh reinforce their cautious monetary policy stance

  • Brazil’s COPOM delivered a hawkish hold, prioritising anchoring inflation, and restoring credibility.
  • Chile’s central bank continued gradual rate cuts amid inflation concerns and improving economic activity.
  • Both Banks will face an improved global scenario by year-end, broadening their policy manoeuvrability.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: BCCh Rate Decision, Chile, June, 2024

  • In one line: Gradual rate cuts, with potential pauses, amid temporary inflation pressures and economic recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: BCCh Rate Decision, Chile, June, 2024

  • In one line: Gradual rate cuts, with potential pauses, amid temporary inflation pressures and economic recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

20 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Reform, turmoil, and resilience tested

  • Brazil — Lula’s political skills put to the test
  • Mexico — Sheinbaum’s judicial reform rattles markets
  • Argentina — Milei’s uphill battle, despite approval

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

18 June 2024 LatAm Monitor Brazil's economic activity losing steam amid mounting headwinds

  • Brazil’s economic activity stalled in April, and down-side risks are intensifying, due mainly to the floods.
  • The COPOM is likely to pause its easing this week, amid inflation concerns and despite faltering growth.
  • Peru’s economy is rebounding in Q2, boosted by primary sectors, and the outlook remains positive.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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